Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 10.508496 11.688706 12.959373 14.431164 16.091506 17.909430 20.054524
2025-07-20 9.020504 10.678329 12.590553 14.967815 17.855723 21.264955 25.616154
2025-07-27 7.772986 9.712383 12.088164 15.232763 19.315498 24.477372 31.561864
2025-08-03 6.645635 8.706613 11.368999 15.095890 20.234554 27.152681 37.310978
2025-08-10 5.735736 7.837577 10.684635 14.876838 20.983531 29.696449 43.326102
2025-08-17 5.005086 7.101931 10.066115 14.636262 21.638116 32.181766 49.687111
2025-08-24 4.436605 6.514682 9.569098 14.482283 22.371490 34.868788 56.826530
2025-08-31 3.991962 6.049201 9.183730 14.428683 23.230112 37.858398 64.994336
2025-09-07 3.703822 5.784064 9.065025 14.768737 24.760774 42.172510 76.267104
2025-09-14 3.369421 5.403688 8.711970 14.662925 25.500119 45.214271 85.783876
2025-09-21 3.044540 5.001054 8.272245 14.342172 25.795773 47.475494 94.206988
2025-09-28 2.790593 4.689514 7.949400 14.181462 26.351669 50.296050 104.315036
2025-10-05 2.650291 4.564956 7.947585 14.628692 28.178442 56.006014 122.074904
2025-10-12 2.521697 4.447330 7.944539 15.073492 30.074203 62.208838 142.472777
2025-10-19 2.373388 4.277758 7.825580 15.272897 31.492881 67.648425 162.422735
2025-10-26 2.195391 4.034212 7.538682 15.091155 32.060108 71.277966 178.740277
2025-11-02 2.029258 3.797082 7.238942 14.843082 32.440520 74.541404 194.944162
2025-11-09 1.879379 3.577486 6.951332 14.584090 32.755923 77.707376 211.732447
2025-11-16 1.753544 3.394201 6.719091 14.418200 33.268136 81.468916 231.305011
2025-11-23 1.649134 3.244933 6.542600 14.356554 34.027677 86.025856 254.621034
2025-11-30 1.587330 3.178391 6.535431 14.689028 35.840852 93.804889 290.620096
2025-12-07 1.494963 3.038536 6.354057 14.580092 36.482256 98.418620 317.434974
2025-12-14 1.394584 2.872740 6.099059 14.258909 36.502910 101.232851 338.821183